Thursday, November 26, 2009

war looming at the horizon, Solana still in power


please see what developped in the last days in the Middle East with Saudi Arabi and Iran...

-Nov 3:  US President Barack Obama and European Union leaders (Barosso and Solana) issued a joint call Tuesday on Iran to meet its international obligations, as pressure mounted on Tehran to accept a nuclear fuel deal. Link

-Nov 9: "Saudi Arabia's possible purchase of at least $2 billion of Russian military equipment has the potential to be the most significant Russian arms deal in the Middle East since the Soviet Union transferred SA-2s to Nasser's Egypt. By all indications, it seems that the two countries have reached an agreement for the arms transfer, after a two-year negotiation period. The deal may be part of a larger process that leads to a significant realignment in the external relations of both parties".Link and Link

-Nov 16: Saudi Arabia's King Abdallah receives director of CIA. Link
-Nov 16: French President Nicolas Sarkozy warned on Tuesday of an extremist backlash if Middle East peace talks do not commence soon, as he headed to Riyadh for a one-day stay with Saudi King Abdullah. Link

-Nov 16: "War by Saudi Arabia, Yemen against Iran has global implications", Link

-Nov 17: Iran's chief of staff has warned Saudi Arabia over its military offensive against Shiite Yemeni rebels, saying it signals the start of "state terrorism" and endangers the entire region. Link

-Nov 17: Iran recently cancelled a deal with Russia to launch its communication satellite, and turned to Italy/Turkey instead. This is in addition to recent complaints from Tehran regarding delays from Russia in the delivery of the S-300 anti-aircraft system. Link

-Nov 22: Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, on visit to the Saudi King Abdullah in Jeddah, described Saudi Arabia as an important force for stability in the region. Europe, he said, appreciated the Kingdom’s political and economic role in the region. Link

-Nov 23: After representatives from the six major powers involved in nuclear talks with Iran complained about a "no follow-up" from Tehran on a nuclear proposal, Iran says it is the P5+1 that in not ready to resume negotiations. Link

-NOv 23: NATO's No. 2 arrives for strategic talks in Israel. Link

-Nov 23: King Abdullah II Bin Al Hussain of Jordan took many by surprise when he issued a royal edict dissolving parliament. Right now, Jordan is bracing for the worst-case scenario: a deteriorating political, security and economic situation in the Palestinian territories, along with an Israeli military strike against Iran's nuclear facilities. This could lead, according to several estimates, to a full-fledged regional war. If this scenario occurs, Jordan would be caught in the middle of a conflict that would not serve its interests. This is one of the main reasons that could have led King Abdullah to dissolve parliament without fixing a date for new elections. The king might be seeking to rule unchallenged ahead of an anticipated major regional crisis. Link

-Nov 25: EU to ask Turkey to adopt a ‘more European Iran policy’...Gabriele Albertini, in this motion on behalf of Committee on Foreign Affairs, called on the Turkish government "to coordinate its foreign policy with the EU in particular regarding Iran.",In 2002, Turkey and the EU agreed on a document outlining conditions where Turkey would be able to join EU operations, known as the “Berlin Plus” deal. Link

-Nov 25: Saudi King Abdullah and Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero held talks on boosting bilateral ties and the situation in the Middle East Link

-Nov 26: Relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran have ranged over the years from coolly cordial to openly hostile. After all, the two countries see themselves as rivals in the quest for regional influence and for leadership of the Muslim world. Link

- Nov. 26 (UPI) -- The United Nations nuclear watchdog agency said Thursday its investigation into Iran's nuclear program had reached a "dead end.
Speaking to the International Atomic Energy Agency's board in Vienna, IAEA Director Mohamed El Baradei said he had grown frustrated with Iran's unwillingness to cooperate with the agency.

-Nov 26: An estimated 2.5 million Muslims from all over the world were in Mecca this week for the hajj, braving the threat of swine flu which has killed four of their number and a heavy downpour on Tuesday that caused mass flooding in nearby Jeddah. At least 77 people died. Link

-Nov 26: (Quatar) Emir H H Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani yesterday exchanged Eid Al Adha greetings with the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz Al Saud of Saudi Arabia, Emir of Kuwait H H Sheikh Sabah Al Ahmed Al Jaber Al Sabah, Bahrain King H M Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, Tunisian President Zine Al Abdine ben Ali, Libyan Leader Muammar Gaddafi. H M Sultan Qaboos bin Said of Oman, UAE President H H Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan, and Egyptian President Mohammed Hosni Mubarak. Link

- Nov 27: DUBAI DEBT WORRIES ROCK WORLD MARKETS, LONDON, The FTSE 100 suffered its worst one-day fall since March closing down 3.2%. Companies with big Middle Eastern shareholders led the rout, on the back of concerns that high-rolling emirate Dubai would be forced to sell stakes to raise capital. Link and Link

On Sunday the Hajj will be over. It is still November. Javier Solana is still in control of WEU and EU Foreign Affairs until December 01. Is it just hours to an attack on Iran? Will Solana pull the "in an event of emergency"-option from §12 of WEU recommendation 666?

stay tuned!


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